Testimony before the Budget Reconciliation Conference Committee, April 10, 2002
The
Minnesota Budget Project is an initiative of the Minnesota Council of
Nonprofits. We provide research and
analysis on budget and tax issues, with particular emphasis on their impact on
low- and moderate-income people.
In January, we released a
set of principles to guide fiscal decision-making in response to the
deficit. These are:
1.
The state’s
budget-balancing decisions should not make the recession worse for those
Minnesotans least able to weather the downturn, including low-income families,
laid-off workers, and other vulnerable populations.
2.
The state should use a
combination of the three primary budget-balancing tools available: raising
revenue, using reserves, and cutting spending.
3. Budget balancing
should be informed by past budget decisions, including how surpluses were
divided between tax cuts and new spending, who benefited from recent tax cuts,
and how certain programs were underfunded even in times of surplus.
Between the two plans
before us, the Senate Phase 2 proposal is more in tune with the fiscal
principles we have suggested. However,
we believe that you can improve on the plans as they currently exist and reach
a budget solution that does not disproportionately affect vulnerable
Minnesotans.
The task in Phase 2 is to bring the budget back into balance without
making the recession worse for those Minnesotans least able to weather the
downturn. In Phase 1, the use of
reserves and other one-time revenues in the current biennium lessens the blow
from the expenditure cuts, but the impact of those cuts will be serious, and it
is not yet clear what impact the large reductions in state government will have
for the provision of services. Given
that the cuts for 2004-05 are larger but even less well-defined, we cannot say
at this point whether the goals of not harming low-income and other vulnerable
populations will be achieved in the next biennium. There should be no additional spending cuts in Phase 2.
Unfortunately, the House
Phase 2 plan makes deep cuts in safety net programs for the most vulnerable
Minnesotans, including the disabled, welfare recipients, and children without
health insurance. It clearly violates
the principle that state budget-balancing decisions should not increase the
burden on vulnerable Minnesotans.
We have called on
decision-makers throughout the session to make use of all three
budget-balancing tools available. The
Phase 1 plan passed by the Legislature made use of reserves and expenditure
cuts. The Senate Plan takes a positive
step by also using revenues to address the deficit and by providing resources
to start rebuilding the reserves.
However, not making the
recession worse for vulnerable Minnesotans also means paying attention to tax
fairness. Historically, we have seen
that most states increase their regressive taxes during hard times and then cut
their progressive taxes in times of surplus, which makes their tax systems more
regressive over time. A large portion
of the revenue raised under the Senate plan comes from cigarette and tobacco
taxes, which will hit low-income taxpayers the hardest. We recognize the positive health impacts of
an increase in cigarette taxes.
However, we think the Senate’s tax proposal could be improved, with
closer attention being paid to tax fairness. Possible improvements include combining the cigarette tax increase with
an expansion of one of the state’s existing refundable tax credits for
low-income taxpayers, such as the Working Family Credit, or by combining a
smaller increase in the cigarette tax with an progressive option, such as an
income tax surcharge, that could raise needed revenue without
disproportionately burdening low-income taxpayers.
A third principle we have
endorsed is that budget-balancing decisions should be informed by past budget
decisions. Looking at what we’ve done
in the past further strengthens the idea that revenue increases must be part of
the deficit solution. In the past five
legislative sessions, 53% of the surpluses went to tax cuts and tax rebates,
and 15% were devoted to the reserves and tobacco endowments. Only 27% went towards improving or expanding
state services. At the same time that
we were cutting taxes, Minnesota benefited from strong growth in personal income. The percentage of income that Minnesotans
pay for government, as measured by the Price of Government, is lower now than
in most of the 1990s.
There is no question that
difficult choices are ahead. However,
by looking at the full range of options available, and considering the impact
on vulnerable Minnesotans, this legislature has a clear opportunity to put the
state on the right track while not increasing the recession’s burden on those
who are hurting most.
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